2011
Ce document est lié à :
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1080/00036846.2010.489886
Anne-Laure Delatte et al., « The determinants of International Reserves in the Emerging countries: a non linear approach », HAL-SHS : économie et finance, ID : 10.1080/00036846.2010.489886
In this article, we adopt a nonlinear approach to examine the dynamics of the international reserves holdings by the emerging economies. To do so, we estimate the demand for international reserves with a Panel Smooth Transition Regression (PSTR) model that loosens two restricting hypotheses, homogeneity and time-stability. We find evidence for the presence of a nonlinear behaviour in the demand for international reserves, a result that is new to the literature. The coefficients are found to change smoothly, as a function of two threshold variables - out of five candidates tested in total. Our specification accounts for the acceleration of foreign exchange reserves accumulation that the linear specifications fail to explain.