How Local Context Affects Populist Radical Right Support: A Cross-National Investigation Into Mediated and Moderated Relationships
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17 avril 2024
- handle: 10670/1.nhyuvh
- hal: hal-04567653
- doi: 10.1017/S0007123424000085
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info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1017/S0007123424000085
info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess
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Personal development Growth (Psychology) Personal growth Self-improvement Social science Sciences, Social Human sciences Social studies Behavioral sciences Natural science Sciences Science of science Scientific research Science research Science--Research Neighbourhoods Neighborhood Golden mean Mean, Golden Mediation--Law and legislation Good offices (Mediation) Factors Agents, Manufacturers' Manufacturers' representatives Geography, Political Understanding Factors Influence and resultsCiter ce document
Kai Arzheimer et al., « How Local Context Affects Populist Radical Right Support: A Cross-National Investigation Into Mediated and Moderated Relationships », Archive ouverte de Sciences Po (SPIRE), ID : 10.1017/S0007123424000085
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Résumé
Populist radical right (PRR) parties are often more successful in some regions of their countries than in others. However, previous research shows that the relationship between context and PRR support is not straightforward. We develop and test an expanded framework linking local conditions to PRR support through two causal mechanisms. First, we argue economic and cultural contextual factors can influence citizens by fostering a sense of perceived local decline, which in turn predicts both populist and nativist attitudes and, hence, PRR support ( mediation ). Second, we expect that citizens with fewer resources and stronger local embeddedness are more strongly influenced by the context in which they live ( moderation ). Combining geocoded survey data with contextual data from four countries (DE, FR, GB and NL), we show that the link between local context and PRR support is indeed mediated and moderated, providing a better understanding of the spatial distribution behind recent PRR success.