Violence between and within political parties in Nigeria: statistics, structures and patterns (2006-2014)

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20 avril 2015

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info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/hdl/2441/1gngtd5shl9g0bgm2944d6ah32

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Sciences Po

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Violent behavior

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Corentin Cohen, « Violence between and within political parties in Nigeria: statistics, structures and patterns (2006-2014) », Archive ouverte de Sciences Po (SPIRE), ID : 10670/1.rt2lju


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Acts of violence between or within politicalparties in Nigeria are usually associated with generalelections and their spectacular death toll. This researchuses statistical tools to analyse this violence during the2006–2014 period. Patterns of political violence betweenthe 2007 and 2011 general elections differ strongly.During the 2007 election, killings occurred mainly withinparties or were linked to the campaign. During the 2011elections, however, most casualties were reported afterthe announcement of the results. Nevertheless, it appearsthat killings related to general elections accounted for lessthan 50% of the total number of such fatalities as theywere reported between 2006 and 2014. A large share ofparty violence is ignored, as it is mostly internal or with alow lethality rate. Arguably, violence is a means used bythe political elite, rather than the people’s choice toprotest against fraud. Levels of violence vary betweenparties and between states. As the ruling party, the PDP isa central actor, involved in 97% of the casualties of partyclashes. Over the period under study, some events areparticularly distinctive because of their large number ofcasualties and their links to ethnic, religious, or economictensions.

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