Extreme co-movements and dependencies among major international exchange rates: a copula approach

Résumé En

This paper investigates the bivariate dependence structure between four international exchange rates (EUR, GBP, CAD, JPY), against the US Dollar, using daily data for the time-span 1999-2014. We use different time-invariant and time-varying copula functions, with different forms of tail dependence, and discover a positive dependence between all exchange rates, although the dependence is less strong for the JPY-pairs of exchange rates. Furthermore, we find evidence of symmetric tail dependence. Finally, the dependence is time-varying and intensifies after the onset of the recent global financial crisis, with the exception of the JPY-pairs. These findings provide additional insight for international investors, risk managers and for policy makers, given the fact that the tail dependence is either positive or negative, is time-changing, and have different structures.

document thumbnail

Par les mêmes auteurs

Sur les mêmes sujets

Sur les mêmes disciplines

Exporter en