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27 décembre 2018
- handle: 10670/1.zof0te
- hal: hal-03613528
- doi: 10.1111/twec.12773
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info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1111/twec.12773
info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess
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Éric Rougier et al., « The volatility effect of diaspora's location », Archive ouverte de Sciences Po (SPIRE), ID : 10.1111/twec.12773
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Résumé
Remittances can transmit volatility from host to home countries for some common patterns of diaspora's geographical distribution. In a migration portfolio model, the overall risk of volatility of any set of diaspora location is decomposed into a contagion and a concentration risks: a diaspora located in more volatile destinations induces a higher contagion risk, while a diaspora located in few destination countries increases the concentration risk. A series of estimations on a large panel of developing countries over 1995–2015 provide evidence for these two risks. Estimation of a structural model confirms that the geography of diaspora has an indirect impact on the origin country's aggregate instability through remittances.