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7 mai 2024
- 2405.04764
Mots-clés
Economics - Theoretical EconomicsSujets proches
Neighbourhoods Neighborhood Economic theory Political economyCiter ce document
Yeon-Koo Che et al., « Predictive Enforcement », arXiv - économie
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Résumé
We study law enforcement guided by data-informed predictions of "hot spots" for likely criminal offenses. Such "predictive" enforcement could lead to data being selectively and disproportionately collected from neighborhoods targeted for enforcement by the prediction. Predictive enforcement that fails to account for this endogenous "datafication" may lead to the over-policing of traditionally high-crime neighborhoods and performs poorly, in particular, in some cases as poorly as if no data were used. Endogenizing the incentives for criminal offenses identifies additional deterrence benefits from the informationally efficient use of data.