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1 juin 2018
- handle: 10670/1.02igeb
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
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Gabriela López Noria et al., « The effect of uncertainty on foreign direct investment: The case of Mexico », Estudios Económicos (México, D.F.), ID : 10670/1.02igeb
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This paper investigates the effect of uncertainty on FDI flows into the Mexican manufacturing sector during the period 2007-2015. Using a panel of manufacturing subsectors, we estimate a model by System GMM that includes domestic and external factors, as well as idiosyncratic and aggregate uncertainty measures as explicative variables. We also perform some simulations to assess the size of the uncertainty effect on FDI flows. The main results show that uncertainty discourages FDI flows into the Mexican manufacturing sector during this period. We also find that idiosyncratic uncertainty measures are more important in explaining FDI flows than aggregate uncertainty measures.