Une crise globale qui attend encore sa résolution

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2013

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Actuel Marx

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Cairn.info

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world-system structural crisis world-economy capitalism Kondratieff geoculture 1968

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Immanuel Wallerstein, « Une crise globale qui attend encore sa résolution », Actuel Marx, ID : 10670/1.eo7phy


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Dynamics of (Unresolved) Global Crisis : Thirty Years LaterThe world-system is in a structural crisis. This is not merely a downturn in some parameters, but a moment when the system as a system has moved too far from equilibrium and bifurcates. There are then two alternatives, and the political struggle is over which of the two alternatives is ultimately “chosen” as a result of an infinity of nano-actions by an infinity of actors at an infinity of nano-moments. The outcome cannot be predicted, but it is certain that one of the two branches of the bifurcation will eventually prevail. The article traces how a capitalist world-economy normally functions and how the processes of permitting the maximum accumulation of capital self-exhaust over time, leading to the structural crisis. It traces the mode of functioning of the two principal cyclical rhythms of the historical system - the Kondratieff curves and the hegemonic curves - and why they have now come close to asymptotes they cannot cross. It also traces the impact of the world-revolution of 1968 on the capacity of the system to sustain its geoculture, and the return to independent operation of both the conservative right and the radical left, now liberated from the constraints of the liberal center.

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