Causal Inference and Impact Evaluation

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2019

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Copyright PERSEE 2003-2023. Works reproduced on the PERSEE website are protected by the general rules of the Code of Intellectual Property. For strictly private, scientific or teaching purposes excluding all commercial use, reproduction and communication to the public of this document is permitted on condition that its origin and copyright are clearly mentionned.



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Denis Fougère et al., « Causal Inference and Impact Evaluation », Economie et Statistique, ID : 10.24187/ecostat.2019.510t.1996


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This paper describes, in a non‑technical way, the main impact evaluation methods, both experimental and quasi‑experimental, and the statistical model underlying them. In the first part, we provide a brief survey of the papers making use of those methods that have been published by the journal Economie et Statistique / Economics and Statistics over the past fifteen years. In the second part, some of the most important methodological advances to have recently been put forward in this field of research are presented. To finish, we focus not only on the need to pay particular attention to the accuracy of the estimated effects, but also on the requirement to replicate evaluations, carried out by experimentation or quasi‑experimentation, in order to distinguish false positives from proven effects.

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