Michael Ghil

Discipline

Economies et finances (2)

Type de document

Articles (3) Autres (1)

Co-auteur

Date

Source

Mot-clé

Dynamics (3) Science (3) Dynamics (3) spectacle (2) recherche (2) modèle (2) économie (2) climat (2) Specimens (2) Research (2) Progress (2) Learning (2) Growth (2) Finance (2) Example (2) Cycles (2) Climatology (2) Climate (2) Business cycles (2) Knowledge and learning (2) Finance (2) Research (2) Utilization (2) Climate (2) Behavior (2) Models (2) Growth (2) puits (1) biologie (1) test (1)

Documents écrit par Michael Ghil (4) | parle de Michael Ghil (0)

Disconcerting learning on climate sensitivity and the uncertain future of uncertainty
A. Hannart et al. (2013)
The Role of Oscillatory Modes in U.S. Business Cycles: We apply the advanced time-and-frequency-domain method of singular spectrum analysis to study business cycle dynamics in a set of nine U.S. macroeconomic indicators. This method provides a robust way to identify and reconstruct shared oscillations, whether intermittent or modulated. We address the problem of spurious cycles generated by the use of detrending filters and present a Monte Carlo test to extract significant oscillations. Finally, we demonstrate that the behavior of the U.S. economy changes significantly between episodes of growth and recession; these variations cannot be generated by random shocks alone, in the absence of endogenous variability. http://www.feem.it/userfiles/attach/20125101548154NDL2012-026.pdf
A. Groth et al. (2012)
French Roadmap for complex Systems 2008-2009
David Chavalarias et al. (3 mars 2009)
Business Cycles, Bifurcations and Chaos in a Neo-Classical Model with Investment Dynamics
Stéphane Hallegatte et al. (2008)