Distance to native climatic niche margins explains establishment success of alien mammals.

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Date

21 avril 2021

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Ce document est lié à :
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1038/s41467-021-22693-0

Ce document est lié à :
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/pmid/33883555

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info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/eissn/2041-1723

Ce document est lié à :
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/urn/urn:nbn:ch:serval-BIB_2600B38D74EF5

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info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess , CC BY 4.0 , https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/


Résumé 0

One key hypothesis explaining the fate of exotic species introductions posits that the establishment of a self-sustaining population in the invaded range can only succeed within conditions matching the native climatic niche. Yet, this hypothesis remains untested for individual release events. Using a dataset of 979 introductions of 173 mammal species worldwide, we show that climate-matching to the realized native climatic niche, measured by a new Niche Margin Index (NMI), is a stronger predictor of establishment success than most previously tested life-history attributes and historical factors. Contrary to traditional climatic suitability metrics derived from species distribution models, NMI is based on niche margins and provides a measure of how distant a site is inside or, importantly, outside the niche. Besides many applications in research in ecology and evolution, NMI as a measure of native climatic niche-matching in risk assessments could improve efforts to prevent invasions and avoid costly eradications.

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