Fluctuations climatiques et prix céréaliers en Europe du XVIe au XXe siècle

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1988

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Annales

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MESR

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Copyright PERSEE 2003-2023. Works reproduced on the PERSEE website are protected by the general rules of the Code of Intellectual Property. For strictly private, scientific or teaching purposes excluding all commercial use, reproduction and communication to the public of this document is permitted on condition that its origin and copyright are clearly mentionned.



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Christian Pfister, « Fluctuations climatiques et prix céréaliers en Europe du XVIe au XXe siècle », Annales, ID : 10.3406/ahess.1988.283474


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Climatic Change and its Impact upon Long-Term Fluctuations of Grain Prices in Europe (16th to 20th Century) The significance of meteorological variables for grain price formation in Central Europe was tested for the period between the mid-sixteenth century and the coming of the railway. The model was based upon monthly estimated measurements of temperature and precipitation. The comparison with the fluctuations of grain prices allowed distinguishing between weather and non-weather impacts. Subsistence crises were touched off by meteorological constellations that included a cold spring and a rainy mid-summer. The contrasts of impact levels in the long run did bear on the intensity and duration of trade cycles, in particular on the price revolution in the sixteenth century.

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