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2005
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Résumé
Yong He, Jean-Christophe Simon — The dynamism of the Chinese agriculture in the face of world trade : A new Big Bang China's agricultural production presents a major challenge to national development and to world trade. Ten years ago, L. Brown (1994) predicted that China would reduce its cultivated surfaces due to rapid industrialisation, leading to a major crisis for world grain markets, thus causing an undesirable Big Bang. Recent data from Chinese sources does not back up this analysis. Three scenarios of probable future trends consider variation of land allocation and market supply. Conclusions suggest that a new specialisation of Chinese agriculture in labour intensive production, currently under way, can be sustained in the decades to come.