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11 septembre 2018
- doi: 10.58079/ovbj
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info:eu-repo/semantics/reference/issn/2262-6891
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Probability Statistical inferenceCiter ce document
Arthur Charpentier, « (A brief) history of randomness, and simulation techniques », Freakonometrics, ID : 10.58079/ovbj
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Hearing "there is a 10% chance of rain today" or "the medical test has a positive predictive value of 75%" shows that the probabilities are now everywhere. A probability is a quantity that is difficult to grasp, but essential when trying to theorize and measure chance, or randomness. And if mathematical theory finally came very late, as Hacking (2006) points out, this did not prevent insurance from developing early enough, and from having the first (actuarial) mortality tables even before th...