1 novembre 2014
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Giovanni Dosi et al., « Micro and macro policies in the Keynes + Schumpeter evolutionary models », HAL SHS (Sciences de l’Homme et de la Société), ID : 10670/1.025510...
This paper presents the family of the Keynes+Schumpeter (K+S, cf. Dosi et al, 2010, 2013,2014) evolutionary agent-based models, which study the effects of a rich ensemble of innovation,industrial dynamics and macroeconomic policies on the long-term growth and short-runfluctuations of the economy. The K+S models embed the Schumpeterian growth paradigminto a complex system of imperfect coordination among heterogeneous interacting firms andbanks, where Keynesian (demand-related) and Minskian (credit cycle) elements feed backinto the meso and macro dynamics. The model is able to endogenously generate long-rungrowth together with business cycles and major crises. Moreover, it reproduces a long list ofmacroeconomic and microeconomic stylized facts. Here, we discuss a series of experimentson the role of policies affecting i) innovation, ii) industry dynamics, iii) demand and iv)income distribution. Our results suggest the presence of strong complementarities betweenSchumpeterian (technological) and Keynesian (demand-related) policies in ensuring that theeconomic system follows a path of sustained stable growth and employment