Time‐varying consumption tax, productive government spending, and aggregate instability

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1 avril 2019

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https://shs.hal.science/halshs-01934819v1

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info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1111/ijet.12216

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info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess




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Mauro Bambi et al., « Time‐varying consumption tax, productive government spending, and aggregate instability », HAL SHS (Sciences de l’Homme et de la Société), ID : 10.1111/ijet.12216


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In this paper we investigate if government balanced-budget rules together with endogenous taxation may lead to aggregate instability in an endogenous growth framework. After highlighting the differences with the exogenous growth framework, we prove that under counter-cyclical consumption taxes, while there exists a unique balanced growth path, sunspot equilibria based on self-fulfilling expectations occur through a form of global indeterminacy. In addition, we argue that this result is empirically plausible for a large set of OECD countries and that it may also emerge with endogenous income taxes.

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