2022
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Franz Dietrich, « Categorical versus graded beliefs », HAL-SHS : économie et finance, ID : 10.3389/fpsyg.2022.817940
This essay discusses the difficulty to reconcile two paradigms about beliefs: the binary or categorical paradigm of yes/no beliefs and the probabilistic paradigm of degrees of belief. The possibility for someone to hold beliefs of both types simultaneously is challenged by the lottery paradox, and more recently by a general impossibility theorem by Dietrich and List. The nature, relevance, and implications of the tension are explained and assessed.