Is the French population on a path to decline?

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Date

1 mars 2025

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Archined : l'archive ouverte de l'INED

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Service des éditions de l'INED

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Institut national d’études démographiques

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info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess , http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nd/

Mots-clés Und

MIGRATION_BALANCE FERTILITY LIFE_EXPECTANCY GROWING_POPULATION BIRTH AGEING FRANCE MORTALITY DEATH POPULATION_PROJECTIONS

Sujets proches En

Populations, Human Human populations Population growth Human population Demography Demographics

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Gilles Pison et al., « Is the French population on a path to decline? », Archined : l'archive ouverte de l'INED, ID : 10670/1.298b4d...

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Résumé 0

The population of France grew by 0.25% in 2024. Nine-tenths of this increase is attributable to net migration and one-tenth to natural increase, which has fallen in response to a decline in births and an increase in deaths. Assuming that fertility and net migration remain stable at 2024 levels and that life expectancy continues to increase slowly, the 2024 projection shows that natural increase will become negative in 2027 but that the population will continue to grow for 2 decades.

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