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1 mars 2015
- handle: 10670/1.4yfltn
- hal: hal-03459981
- SCIENCESPO: 2441/6l0phu0dat8eg98t75kpqihcid
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info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/hdl/2441/6l0phu0dat8eg98t75kpqihcid
info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess
Mots-clés
Conflict Media News Pressure Strategic Timing Israel Palestine D - Microeconomics/D.D7 - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making/D.D7.D74 - Conflict • Conflict Resolution • Alliances • Revolutions L - Industrial Organization/L.L8 - Industry Studies: Services/L.L8.L82 - Entertainment • Media N - Economic History/N.N4 - Government, War, Law, International Relations, and Regulation D - Microeconomics/D.D7 - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making/D.D7.D72 - Political Processes: Rent-Seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting BehaviorSujets proches
Methods of analysis Analysis and chemistry Analytical methods Chemical analysis Analysis methods Analysis and examinationCiter ce document
Ruben Durante et al., « Attack When the World is Not Watching? International Media and the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict », Archive ouverte de Sciences Po (SPIRE), ID : 10670/1.4yfltn
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Résumé
Governments often take unpopular measures. To minimize the political cost of such measures policy makers may strategically time them to coincide with other newsworthy events, which distract the media and the public. We test this hypothesis using data on the recurrent Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Combining daily data on attacks on both sides of the conflict with data on the content of evening news for top U.S. TV networks, we show that Israeli attacks are more likely to be carried out when the U.S. news are expected to be dominated by important (non-Israel-related) events on the following day. In contrast, we find no evidence of strategic timing for Palestinian attacks. The timing of Israeli attacks minimizes the next-day news coverage which, as confirmed by comprehensive video content analysis, is especially charged with negative emotional content. We also find that: i) strategic timing is applied to retaliation only in periods of less intense fighting, when the urgency of retaliation is lower; ii) strategic timing is present only for the Israeli attacks that bear risk of civilians being affected; and iii) Israeli attacks are timed to newsworthy events that are predictable.