8 novembre 2024
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Jean Barthelemy et al., « Fiscal Dominance: Implications for Bond Markets and Central Banking », Archive ouverte de Sciences Po (SPIRE), ID : 10.2139/ssrn.4989409
Fiscal dominance refers to situations in which monetary policy is constrained by the public sector’s budget constraint. Large shifts in the dynamics of sovereign debts, surpluses, and central bank’s balance sheets since the Great Financial Crisis have created the perception of a heightened risk of such fiscal dominance in major jurisdictions. This paper reviews the theoretical and empirical literature on fiscal dominance. We offer a simple theory in which fiscal dominance arises as the outcome of strategic interactions between the government and the central bank.