Foreign Exchange Interventions and Intermediary Constraints

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3 mars 2025

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http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/ , info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess




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Alex Ferreira et al., « Foreign Exchange Interventions and Intermediary Constraints », HAL SHS (Sciences de l’Homme et de la Société), ID : 10670/1.769171...


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The dollar intermediation channel of foreign exchange interventions, a form of the portfolio balance channel,emerges from the imperfect substitutability between domestic currency and USD, the dominant global currency,and financial frictions limiting USD liquidity access. This channel plays a key role in the Banco Central do Brasil’sFX interventions. Using high-frequency data on 8,000+ Brazilian FXI events (1999-2023), we find thatunanticipated spot sales appreciate the domestic currency, reduce covered interest parity deviations, and crowdout private intermediation, especially when intermediaries are constrained. Our results support an extendedGabaix and Maggiori (2015) model, where constrained intermediaries amplify intervention effectiveness.

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