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2020
- handle: 10670/1.7gq9o3
- hal: hal-02399953
- doi: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1696940
Ce document est lié à :
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1080/00036846.2019.1696940
Mots-clés
productivity CGE model Peru Infrastructure productivity H - Public Economics/H.H5 - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies/H.H5.H54 - Infrastructures • Other Public Investment and Capital Stock O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth/O.O4 - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity/O.O4.O47 - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth • Aggregate Productivity • Cross-Country Output Convergence D - Microeconomics/D.D5 - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium/D.D5.D58 - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium ModelsSujets proches
Balancing (Physics) Balance (Physics) Balance Economic growth Growth, Economic Development, EconomicCiter ce document
Jean-Marc Montaud et al., « Potential effects of scaling-up infrastructure in Peru: a general equilibrium model-based analysis », HAL-SHS : économie et finance, ID : 10.1080/00036846.2019.1696940
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Résumé
This study assesses and compares the potential economic impacts of different investment plans dedicated to filling infrastructure gaps in Peru. Using a national database at the firm level, we start by estimating empirically the positive externalities of Peruvian infrastructure, such as energy, telecommunications, and transportation facilities, on the output of private activities. In the second step, these estimates are introduced in a dynamic computable general equilibrium model used to conduct counterfactual simulations of various investment plans in infrastructure over a 15-year period. These simulations show first to what extent scaling-up infrastructure could be a worthwhile strategy to achieve economic growth in Peru; however, they also show that these benefits depend on the choice of funding schemes related to such public spending.