Political decision making in the COVID-19 pandemic: The case of germany from the perspective of risk management
Fiche du document
30 décembre 2021
- handle: 10670/1.7tkea2
Ce document est lié à :
http://www.bibliothek.uni-regensburg.de/ezeit/?217 [...]
Open Access related to alliance or national license , public , info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
Mots-clés
article ddc:610 ddc:150 COVID-19 health economics decision making business economics health policy public health risk management uncertainty simulation public choice applied economicsSujets proches
Decision (Psychology) Decision processes Making decisions Decision analysis Management--Decision making Deciding Management decisionsCiter ce document
Frank Daumann et al., « Political decision making in the COVID-19 pandemic: The case of germany from the perspective of risk management », Digitale Bibliothek Thüringen, ID : 10670/1.7tkea2
Métriques
Partage / Export
Résumé
The COVID-19 pandemic is permanently changing modern social and economic coexistence. Most governments have declared infection control to be their top priority while citizens face great restrictions on their civil rights. A pandemic is an exemplary scenario in which political actors must decide about future, and thus uncertain, events. This paper tries to present a tool well established in the field of entrepreneurial and management decision making which could also be a first benchmark for political decisions. Our approach builds on the standard epidemiological SEIR model in combination with simulation techniques used in risk management. By our case study we want to demonstrate the opportunities that risk management techniques, especially risk analyses using Monte Carlo simulation, can provide to policy makers in general, and in a public health crisis in particular. Hence, our case study can be used as a framework for political decision making under incomplete information and uncertainty. Overall, we want to point out that a health policy that aims to provide comprehensive protection against infection should also be based on economic criteria. This is without prejudice to the integration of ethical considerations in the final political decision.