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1 mars 2025
- ISIDORE Id: 10670/1.991916...
- hal: hal-05042928
- doi: 10.3917/popsoc.631.0001
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https://hal.science/hal-05051045v1
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info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.3917/popsoc.631.0001
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nd/ , info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess
Mots-clés
Population projection Birth rates Death rates Fertility Agents Life expectancy Mortality Rates Natural increase Net migration Population growth rate Ageing Models French demographicsSujets proches
Populations, Human Human populations Population growth Human population Demography DemographicsCiter ce document
Gilles Pison et al., « Is the French population on a path to decline? », HAL SHS (Sciences de l’Homme et de la Société), ID : 10.3917/popsoc.631.0001
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Résumé
The population of France grew by 0.25% in 2024. Nine-tenths of this increase is attributable to net migration and one-tenth to natural increase, which has fallen in response to a decline in births and an increase in deaths. Assuming that fertility and net migration remain stable at 2024 levels and that life expectancy continues to increase slowly, the 2024 projection shows that natural increase will become negative in 2027 but that the population will continue to grow for 2 decades.
