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1 janvier 2009
- handle: 10670/1.99tehd
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
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Juan Carlos Chávez-Martín del Campo et al., « Halving Poverty in Mexico », Economía mexicana. Nueva época, ID : 10670/1.99tehd
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We estimate the required time and the minimum necessary growth rate to halve poverty incidence and poverty intensity in Mexico's rural and urban areas for a series of counterfactual distribution and growth scenarios. Results show that, given the current income distribution, per capita incomes in the rural area would have to grow faster -in some cases eight times faster- than they have done historically to shrink poverty by half by 2015. In contrast, income in the urban sector would have to grow around 1 per cent per year to reach the same goal, which seems a more reasonable outcome given its behavior in past years.