Fiche du document
16 octobre 2024
- ISIDORE Id: 10670/1.ae2ebe...
- hal: hal-04816706
info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess
Citer ce document
Mathieu Plane et al., « Growth up Against Fiscal Recovery. The 2024-2025 outlook for the French economy », Archive ouverte de Sciences Po (SPIRE), ID : 10670/1.ae2ebe...
Métriques
Partage / Export
Résumé
The OFCE's forecast for France's GDP growth in the coming years is 1.1% for 2024 and 0.8% for 2025. The impact of the violent shocks experienced by the French economy is gradually fading, as can be seen by slowing inflation, which should average 1.5% in 2025. This will permit the European Central Bank to cut interest rates, which will boost the economy in 2025 by 0.4 point of GDP. The deterioration in the public finances was not well anticipated, which, amidst today's political instability, will require a sharp tightening of the budget. Reducing the structural deficit will trim the economy by 0.8 GDP point in 2025.
