From votes to seats : The 2017 French legislative elections

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2018

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Bernard Dolez et al., « From votes to seats : The 2017 French legislative elections », Revue française de science politique, ID : 10670/1.b36f19...


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The analysis of how votes translated into seats in the 2017 legislative elections in France shows that the “mechanical effects” of the two-round majority system were more brutal than ever before. Receiving 32.3% of the votes cast in the first round, the LREM-MoDem coalition ended up winning 60% of the seats in the French National Assembly. In the second round of voting, Emmanuel Macron’s movement took advantage of its centrist position on the political spectrum to win in a majority of constituencies, against left-wing, right-wing and far-right-wing candidates alike. Analyzing this situation also reiterates the importance of the second round in a two-round majority system. In this case, the narrative of a predicted victory contributed to the demobilization of LREM-MoDem voters between the two rounds of voting, thus preventing the new president from obtaining an even greater majority.

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