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2007
- handle: 10670/1.b66skb
- hal: hal-00716398
- doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2007.01.015
- PRODINRA: 39162
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info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2007.01.015
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P. Courtois et al., « Games of influence in climate change negotiations: Modelling interactions », HAL-SHS : économie et finance, ID : 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2007.01.015
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We present an integrated framework for structuring and evaluating dynamic climate change decision-making taking into account influential processes occurring during negotiation rounds. Imitation, persuasion and dissuasion are considered. To represent negotiation outcomes, we define a stochastic model derived from concepts of thermodynamics. We use the master equation to describe games of influence. We illustrate the model by simulating the formation and the evolution of a cooperative coalition in the course of a negotiation round. We derive conditions for the emergence and the enlargement of a cooperative agreement. © 2007 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.