Portuguese Ministers as Political Survivors: an empirical analysis of the first 20 Constitutional Governments
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2020
- handle: 10670/1.d241ue
- 0104-4478
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Revista de Sociologia e Política
Mots-clés
Sociología gender Ministerial cabinet proportional hazard determinants of political survival Portuguese constitutional governmentsSujets proches
Economic history Socioeconomic status Instruction and study--Methods Work, Method of Industry (Psychology) Method of work Survival skills Survival after airplane accidents, shipwrecks, etc Populations, Human Human populations Population growth Human population Parties, Political Party systems, Political Political party systems Pattern Model Assessment Economic conditions History, Economic Resultants Days of the week Assessment, Tax Assessment Property tax--Assessment Real property tax--Assessment Assessed valuation Older persons Older adults Seniors (Older people) Elderly people Old people Senior citizens Aging people Aged Skill Abilities Talent Aptitude Talents Proficiency Skills Instruction and study--Methods Methods of analysis Analysis and chemistry Analytical methods Chemical analysis Analysis methods Analysis and examination Demography DemographicsCiter ce document
Paulo Mourão et al., « Portuguese Ministers as Political Survivors: an empirical analysis of the first 20 Constitutional Governments », Revista de Sociologia e Política, ID : 10670/1.d241ue
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Résumé
"Introduction: In this study, we evaluated the proportional risk of Portuguese Prime-Ministers and Ministers leaving office.Materials and Methods: We used consecutive days in office for each one of the 432 citizens who served in a ministerial function since 1976. Results: Exploring several divisions in this population, we concluded that individuals supported by parliamentary majorities, who served after 1986, who had higher educational credentials, and who were members of political parties exhibited lower risks of being exonerated. Conversely, being an aged person, serving during bad economic conditions, assuming several ministries simultaneously and being in charge of too-specific ministries did not ensure longer political tenures for Portuguese ministers.Discussion: Besides being the first empirical assessment of all Portuguese Ministers after 1974, this work shows how higher skills are important assets for Ministers’ tenures and how economic crises are highly stimulating for cabinets’ changes in Portugal, which corresponds to the pattern observed in most recent democratic regimens."