23 mai 2021
info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess
Rouba Iskandar et al., « PEERS: An integrated agent-based framework for simulating pedestrians' earthquake evacuation », HAL SHS (Sciences de l’Homme et de la Société), ID : 10670/1.dad4d1...
Traditional seismic risk assessment approaches focus on assessing the damages to the urban fabric and the resultant socioeconomic consequences, without adequately incorporating the social component of risk. However, the behaviors people adopt in response to earthquakes, affect their exposure to the threat, and should be considered in quantitative risk assessment studies. This paper proposes an interdisciplinary agent-based modeling framework for simulating pedestrians' evacuation in an urban environment during and in the immediate aftermath of an earthquake. The model is applied to Beirut, Lebanon and integrates geo-spatial, socio-demographic, and quantitative behavioral data corresponding to the study area. Several scenarios are proposed to be explored using this model in order to identify the influence of relevant model parameters. These experiments could contribute to the development of improved of emergency management plans and prevention strategies.