Stated preferences outperform elicited preferences for predicting reported compliance with Covid-19 prophylactic measures
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- ISIDORE Id: 10670/1.e277bd...
- hal: hal-04192470
- doi: 10.1016/j.socec.2023.102089
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info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1016/j.socec.2023.102089
info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess
Mots-clés
COVID-19 Individual preferences Social preferences Elicited preferences Stated preferences. D - Microeconomics/D.D9 - Intertemporal Choice/D.D9.D90 - General I - Health, Education, and Welfare/I.I1 - Health/I.I1.I18 - Government Policy • Regulation • Public HealthSujets proches
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Ismaël Rafaï et al., « Stated preferences outperform elicited preferences for predicting reported compliance with Covid-19 prophylactic measures », HAL SHS (Sciences de l’Homme et de la Société), ID : 10.1016/j.socec.2023.102089
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Résumé
This paper studies the behavioral and socio-demographic determinants of reported compliance with prophylactic measures against COVID-19: barrier gestures, lockdown restrictions and mask wearing. The study contrasts two types of measures for behavioral determinants: experimentally elicited preferences (risk tolerance, time preferences, social value orientation and cooperativeness) and stated preferences (risk tolerance, time preferences, and the GSS trust question). Data were collected from a representative sample of the metropolitan French adult population (N=1154) surveyed during the first lockdown in May 2020, and the experimental tasks were carried out on-line. The in-sample and out-of-sample predictive power of several regression models - which vary in the set of variables that they include - are studied and compared. Overall, we find that stated preferences are better predictors of compliance with these prophylactic measures than preferences elicited through incentivized experiments: self-reported level of risk, patience and trust are predicting compliance, while elicited measures of risk-aversion, patience, cooperation and prosociality did not.
