Two-Sided Market Power in Firm-to-Firm Trade

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4 avril 2022

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http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/ , info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess



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Michele Fioretti et al., « Two-Sided Market Power in Firm-to-Firm Trade », HAL-SHS : économie et finance, ID : 10670/1.evi00y


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Global value chains (GVCs) typically involve large firms exerting bargaining power over the terms of trade. We develop a novel theory of international prices accounting for these features of GVCs and illustrate their e↵ect on the pass-through of trade shocks into import prices. We build a new dataset merging transaction-level U.S. import data with balance sheet data for both importers and exporters to evaluate the model's performance. Our estimated model generates more accurate predictions of pair-level price changes following trade shocks than standard models, improving the estimated impact of the 2018 trade war on aggregate U.S. import prices by 40-60%.

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