A Brief History of Human Time. Exploring a database of " notable people "

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Sciences Po

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Olivier Gergaud et al., « A Brief History of Human Time. Exploring a database of " notable people " », Archive ouverte de Sciences Po (SPIRE), ID : 10670/1.ixxio8


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This paper describes a database of 1,243,776 notable people and 7,184,575 locations (Geolinks)associated with them throughout human history (3000BCE-2015AD). We first describe in detailsthe various approaches and procedures adopted to extract the relevant information from theirWikipedia biographies and then analyze the database. Ten main facts emerge.1. There has been an exponential growth over time of the database, with more than 60% ofnotable people still living in 2015, with the exception of a relative decline of the cohort born inthe XVIIth century and a local minimum between 1645 and 1655.2. The average lifespan has increased by 20 years, from 60 to 80 years, between the cohort bornin 1400AD and the one born in 1900AD.3. The share of women in the database follows a U-shape pattern, with a minimum in theXVIIth century and a maximum at 25% for the most recent cohorts.4. The fraction of notable people in governance occupations has decreased while the fractionin occupations such as arts, literature/media and sports has increased over the centuries; sportscaught up to arts and literature for cohorts born in 1870 but remained at the same level until the1950s cohorts; and eventually sports came to dominate the database after 1950. 5. The top 10 visible people born before 1890 are all non-American and have 10 differentnationalities. Six out of the top 10 born after 1890 are instead U.S. born citizens. Since 1800, theshare of people from Europe and the U.S. in the database declines, the number of people from Asiaand the Southern Hemisphere grows to reach 20% of the database in 2000. Coïncidentally, in 1637,the exact barycenter of the base was in the small village of Colombey-les-Deux-Eglises (ChampagneRegion in France), where Charles de Gaulle lived and passed away. Since the 1970s, the barycenteroscillates between Morocco, Algeria and Tunisia.6. The average distance between places of birth and death follows a U-shape pattern: the mediandistance was 316km before 500AD, 100km between 500 and 1500AD, and has risen continuouslysince then. The greatest mobility occurs between the age of 15 and 25.7. Individuals with the highest levels of visibility tend to be more distant from their birth place,with a median distance of 785km for the top percentile as compared to 389km for the top decileand 176km overall.8. In all occupations, there has been a rise in international mobility since 1960. The fraction oflocations in a country different from the place of birth went from 15% in 1955 to 35% after 2000.9. There is no positive association between the size of cities and the visibility of people measuredat the end of their life. If anything, the correlation is negative.10. Last and not least, we find a positive correlation between the contemporaneous number ofentrepreneurs and the urban growth of the city in which they are located the following decades; morestrikingly, the same is also true with the contemporaneous number or share of artists, positivelyaffecting next decades city growth; instead, we find a zero or negative correlation between thecontemporaneous share of “militaries, politicians and religious people” and urban growth in thefollowing decades.

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