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- handle: 10670/1.nt0t55
- halshs: halshs-00754429
- doi: 10.1007/s11238-010-9215-6
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info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1007/s11238-010-9215-6
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Jean Baratgin et al., « Sleeping Beauty and the absent-minded driver », HAL-SHS : économie et finance, ID : 10.1007/s11238-010-9215-6
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The Sleeping Beauty problem is presented in a formalized framework which summarizes the underlying probability structure. The two rival solutions proposed by Elga (Analysis 60:143-147, 2000) and Lewis (Analysis 61:171-176, 2001) differ by a single parameter concerning her prior probability. They can be supported by considering, respectively, that Sleeping Beauty is "fuzzy-minded" and "blank-minded", the first interpretation being more natural than the second. The traditional absent-minded driver problem is reinterpreted in this framework and sustains Elga's solution.