Simple bets to elicit private signals

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1 juillet 2021

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info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.3982/TE4343

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Aurélien Baillon et al., « Simple bets to elicit private signals », HAL-SHS : droit et gestion, ID : 10.3982/TE4343


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This paper introduces two simple betting mechanisms, Top-Flop and Threshold betting, to elicit unverifiable information from crowds. Agents are offered bets on the rating of an item about which they received a private signal versus that of a random item. We characterize conditions for the chosen bet to reveal the agents' private signal even if the underlying ratings are biased. We further provide micro-economic foundations of the ratings, which are endogenously determined by the actions of other agents in a game setting. Our mechanisms relax standard assumptions of the literature, such as common prior, and homogeneous and risk neutral agents.

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