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13 juin 2018
- handle: 10670/1.rtykhf
- hal: hal-01817415
info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess
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Jérémy Eydieux, « Valuation and Risk Management: Anticipation and Resilience », HAL-SHS : philosophie, ID : 10670/1.rtykhf
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How can anticipation (analyzing risk, establishing rules and norms) and resilience (capacity to maintain safety when facing unpredictable situations) be articulated? Classical theories of risk management tend to view them as potentially contradictory. Valuation helps to think their articulation by going beyond such a dichotomy. Adapting operational beliefs through ongoing valuation can never provide certain anticipations, but this social process should make anticipations intelligible, communicable and debatable. As fixing beliefs in advance is always incomplete for situations yet to come, its results should have flexible meanings in order to support and not interfere with situated management. So that anticipation would be an instrument for resilience and resilience an instrument for anticipation.