25 février 2018
Ce document est lié à :
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1080/00036846.2018.1441517
Etienne Farvaque et al., « Drowned by numbers? Stabilization properties of an EU-wide unemployment insurance system », HAL-SHS : économie et finance, ID : 10.1080/00036846.2018.1441517
The recent crisis has given rise to proposals for the creation of a European unemployment insurance system. We simulate an EU-wide mechanism under various scenarios, varying methods of financing (common or country-specific contribution rates) and triggers for pay-outs (all time or contingent clauses). We analyse the impact of the system using different measures of stabilization under different fiscal multipliers. A system operating during bad times (periods where the increase in unemployment is large) would reduce GDP growth variability but also growth correlation among member countries. Hence, there is a trade-off between stabilization and synchronization of national business cycles.