Les rapports de pouvoirs entre l’INSEE, la Direction de la prévision et le Commissariat général du plan et leur évolution. Un cas exemplaire : l’élaboration du modèle physico-financier (FIFI) utilisé pour le VIe plan

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1979

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MESR

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Copyright PERSEE 2003-2024. Works reproduced on the PERSEE website are protected by the general rules of the Code of Intellectual Property. For strictly private, scientific or teaching purposes excluding all commercial use, reproduction and communication to the public of this document is permitted on condition that its origin and copyright are clearly mentionned.



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Lucien Nizard, « Les rapports de pouvoirs entre l’INSEE, la Direction de la prévision et le Commissariat général du plan et leur évolution. Un cas exemplaire : l’élaboration du modèle physico-financier (FIFI) utilisé pour le VIe plan », Revue française d'administration publique (documents), ID : 10670/1.stl17f


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The present state and developments of the relations of power between the INSEE, the directorate of forecasting and the french planning authority The author analyses recent changes in the relations of power between these three public bodies following the formulation and use of the quantitative-financial model set up for the 6th Plan, for indeed the use of the Fifi model has brought about a major change in relations between forecasters and decision-makers, on account of two types of constraints : those imposed by the model on experts and those, different from the first, imposed on the decision-makers through the straight and fast dividing-line set by the model between forecasting and decision-makiug. This provides the expert with stronger powers, since his control is undetermined, as it seems. Yet his autonomy decreases with respect to the decision-maker. The inter-relationship between both has to become such as to establish a continued collaboration where forecasting and decision-making become an intimate mix.

Las relaciones delpoder entre INSEE, la direccion de la prevision y el comisariato general del plan y su desarrollo El autor analiza el reciente cambio en las relaciones del poder entre estos tres organismos que se observa como consecuencia de la elaboración y del uso del modelo fisico-financiero puesto en obra para el 6° Plan. El hecho es que la aplicación de este modelo «fifi» afecta las relaciones entre previsionistas y decidores, visto que impone a cada uno límites particulares puestas en relieve por el rigor con que trata distinctivamente ambos campos. El resultado es que el experto disfruta ya de un poder de control más largo, por no ser determinado de antemano, mas su autonomía frente al decidor queda reducida. Será necesario proveer una ósmosis entre ambos, permitiendo una continua colaboración entre previsionistas y decidores, desembocando en una obra común.

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