Fiche du document
2023
- handle: 10670/1.tp9cre
- hal: hal-03803869
- doi: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2022.103707
Ce document est lié à :
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1016/j.jinteco.2022.103707
Ce document est lié à :
info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/FP7/336748/EU/Within and across countries heterogeneity in international finance/INFINHET
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/ , info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess
Mots-clés
Aging Household Saving International Capital Flows E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics/E.E2 - Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy/E.E2.E21 - Consumption • Saving • Wealth F - International Economics/F.F2 - International Factor Movements and International Business/F.F2.F21 - International Investment • Long-Term Capital Movements J - Labor and Demographic Economics/J.J1 - Demographic Economics/J.J1.J11 - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and ForecastsSujets proches
Capital outflow Capital flows Movements of capital Capital inflow Flight of capital Flow of capital Capital flightCiter ce document
Zsofia Barany et al., « Capital Flows in an Aging World », Archive ouverte de Sciences Po (SPIRE), ID : 10.1016/j.jinteco.2022.103707
Métriques
Partage / Export
Résumé
We investigate the importance of worldwide demographic evolutions in shaping capital flows across countries. Our lifecycle model incorporates crosscountry differences in fertility and longevity as well as differences in countries' ability to borrow inter-temporally and across generations through social security. In this environment, global aging triggers uphill capital flows from emerging to advanced economies, while country-specific demographic evolutions reallocate capital towards countries aging more slowly. Our quantitative multi-country overlapping generations model explains a large fraction of long-term capital flows across advanced and emerging countries.