Skill of the immigrants and vote of the natives: Immigration and nationalism in European elections 2007–2016
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- handle: 10670/1.uqmml5
- hal: hal-03596002
- doi: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2021.103986
- PII: S0014-2921(21)00265-8
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info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2021.103986
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/ , info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess
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Immigration Nationalism Elections EuropeSujets proches
Migration, International Immigration International migration Foreign population ImmigrationCiter ce document
Simone Moriconi et al., « Skill of the immigrants and vote of the natives: Immigration and nationalism in European elections 2007–2016 », HAL-SHS : économie et finance, ID : 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2021.103986
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Résumé
We analyze the impact of local immigration on natives’ preferences for “nationalism” as measured in parties’ programs by the Manifesto Project Database in European election data between 2007 and 2016. Using a 2SLS strategy with a shift-share IV based on immigrant shares by origin in 2005 and inflows by education-origin groups, we estimate that larger inflows of highly-educated immigrants were associated with a decrease in the “nationalistic” vote of natives, while less-educated immigrants produced an opposite-direction shift towards nationalistic parties. The aggregate results derive from individual shifts toward nationalism in response to less-skilled immigration, and from greater participation of young voters and more pro-European attitudes in response to high-skilled immigration.