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- handle: 10670/1.yge1ll
- hal: hal-01045223
- doi: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2006.02.002
- SCIENCESPO: 2441/c8dmi8nm4pdjkuc9g708pipbp
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Mots-clés
Gravity models International finance International trade Simultaneous equations C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods/C.C3 - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models • Multiple Variables/C.C3.C31 - Cross-Sectional Models • Spatial Models • Treatment Effect Models • Quantile Regressions • Social Interaction Models F - International Economics/F.F1 - Trade/F.F1.F10 - General F - International Economics/F.F3 - International Finance/F.F3.F36 - Financial Aspects of Economic IntegrationSujets proches
Trade Commercial trade Foreign trade Trade TradeCiter ce document
Antonin Aviat et al., « The geography of trade in goods and asset holdings », HAL-SHS : économie et finance, ID : 10.1016/j.jinteco.2006.02.002
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Résumé
Gravity models have been widely used to describe bilateral trade in goods. Portes and Rey [Portes, R., Rey, H., 2005. The Determinants of Cross-Border Equity Flows. Journal of International Economics, 65(2), 269-296.] applied this framework to cross-border equity flows and found that distance, which proxies information asymmetries, is a surprisingly very large barrier to cross-border asset trade. We adopt a different point of view and explore the complementarity between bilateral trade in goods and bilateral asset holdings in a simultaneous gravity equations framework. Providing different instruments for both endogenous variables, we show that a 10% increase in bilateral trade raises bilateral asset holdings by 6% to 7%. The reverse causality is also significant, albeit smaller. Controlling for trade, the impact of distance on asset holdings is drastically reduced. Keywords: Gravity models; International finance; International trade; Simultaneous equations